Aucas 0-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.60/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
+83% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
13.8 Crosses 15.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
2W-4D-0L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
191 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 1-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.08.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.03.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
07.08.2022 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.03.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-4 HT 1-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
01.11.2021 Aucas Aucas 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
0-1
AWAY LDU Quito
0.85 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aucas vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Aucas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day LDU Quito made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aucas had 58% of the ball to LDU Quito's 42%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.85 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aucas and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Aucas vs LDU Quito?

Aucas 0-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aucas 36%, draw 26%, LDU Quito 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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