Orense 3-2 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +2%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.03
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.4 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 250
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
30.10.2023 Orense Orense 2-3 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
20.05.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.08.2022 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
11.04.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
15.08.2021 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
3-2
AWAY Barcelona SC
2.51 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
183 Passes 276
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense edged past Barcelona SC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Orense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orense had 41% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 59%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.51 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 1.50 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Orense vs Barcelona SC?

Orense 3-2 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Orense 35%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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