Imbabura 2-3 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.19/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.21
+150% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
12.6 Crosses 19.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imbabura
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 1.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
477 Passes 239
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-0 HT 2-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
2-3
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.95 xG 2.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
212 Passes 125
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa edged past Imbabura 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Imbabura at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Imbabura had 57% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 43%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.95 to 2.53.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Mushuc Runa?

Imbabura 2-3 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imbabura win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 43%, draw 23%, Mushuc Runa 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Imbabura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imbabura) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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