Mushuc Runa 0-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.11
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.6 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
218 Passes 196
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Macara Macara 2-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.05.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-3 HT 1-2 Macara Macara EKV1
03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
11.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.09.2022 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
0-0
AWAY Macara
0.73 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
370 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa and Macara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 58% of the ball to Macara's 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.73 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Macara.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Mushuc Runa 0-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 38%, draw 29%, Macara 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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