Orense 0-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Sep 2025

Orense
0-0 HT 0-0
Emelec
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Orense vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.34
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.8 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Orense vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Emelec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.85
44% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 314
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.06.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
02.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Orense Orense EKV1
26.03.2024 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
13.08.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.03.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
10.10.2022 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1

Orense 0-0 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
0-0
AWAY Emelec
1.46 xG 0.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orense vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Emelec played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Orense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orense had 59% of the ball to Emelec's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.46 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 0.83 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Orense vs Emelec?

Orense 0-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orense 45%, draw 24%, Emelec 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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