Uni. Catolica 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.85/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
+38% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
14.9 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
394 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 HT 3-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.08.2022 Uni. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
2.50 xG 1.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
448 Passes 256
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cuenca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.50 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.83 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 51%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cuenca 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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