Tecnico Universitario 1-3 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.25/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.8 Crosses 16.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0W-0D-6L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
148 Passes 440
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
31.05.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 2-2 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
19.10.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
28.04.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
09.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.05.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
31.07.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-3
AWAY LDU Quito
2.79 xG 1.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
356 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 9
47 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito saw off Tecnico Universitario 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 62% of the ball to LDU Quito's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.79 to 1.19 — on chances, Tecnico Universitario could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs LDU Quito?

Tecnico Universitario 1-3 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 28%, draw 25%, LDU Quito 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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