Libertad 1-0 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.7 Crosses 21.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
350 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-0
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.83 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
280 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Cuniburo FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 52% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 48%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Cuniburo FC?

Libertad 1-0 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 26%, Cuniburo FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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