Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 36%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.83 to 1.60 — on chances, Deportivo Alaves could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.00 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?
Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 38%, draw 30%, Deportivo Alaves 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.