Las Palmas 2-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.68
Over
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.75
2-3
35%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.24
6+
9%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.75 — our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.71
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.26
X/2
16%
5.62
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla The Market 37%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.04/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.8 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sevilla
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 2.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
405 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
17.09.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
22.07.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
17.02.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.09.2017 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.02.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-2
AWAY Sevilla
1.41 xG 1.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
345 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Sevilla shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 48% of the ball to Sevilla's 52%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.41 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Las Palmas and 1.33 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Sevilla?

Las Palmas 2-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 34%, draw 29%, Sevilla 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
16 Aug 2024
20:00 Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Analysis →