Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

Las Palmas
0-2 HT 0-1
Sevilla
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Las Palmas vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.91
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.71
X/2
12%
5.56
X/X
9%
4.18
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.76
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
+30% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.1 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Las Palmas vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sevilla
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
340 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
22.07.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
17.02.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.09.2017 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.02.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
10.09.2016 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-2
AWAY Sevilla
0.07 xG 2.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
540 Passes 303
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla got the better of Las Palmas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 63% of the ball to Sevilla's 37%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.07 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Las Palmas and 1.33 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Sevilla?

Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 36%, draw 26%, Sevilla 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5
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