Granada 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

Granada
2-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Granada vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
17%
5.6
X/X
12%
3.75
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Granada v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.43/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.65
+7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.6 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Granada vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
325 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 3-1 HT 2-0 Granada Granada İS1
05.05.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS2
02.12.2022 Granada Granada 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
19.03.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-3 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
03.12.2021 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
16.05.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 4-2 HT 2-1 Granada Granada İS1

Granada 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.45 xG 0.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
183 Passes 324
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada saw off Deportivo Alaves 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Granada found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Granada had 39% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 61%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Granada and 2.00 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Granada vs Deportivo Alaves?

Granada 2-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Granada 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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