Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.52/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.19
+5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Buchbach
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 2-3 HT 2-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
02.08.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 Buchbach Buchbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illertissen
2-0
AWAY Buchbach
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen beat Buchbach 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Illertissen had 50% of the ball to Buchbach's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Illertissen and 1.00 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Buchbach?

Illertissen 2-0 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 64%, draw 22%, Buchbach 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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