VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Emden ran out comfortable winners over VfB Oldenburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden?

VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 46%, draw 27%, Kickers Emden 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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