Bayern München II 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.66
+45% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses 12.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 0.83
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
479 Passes 153
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
4-1
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II swept aside Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München II had 65% of the ball to Viktoria Aschaffenburg's 35%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern München II and 1.33 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Bayern München II 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 57%, draw 22%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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