Glenorchy Knights 1-3 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.41/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.11
-29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
1W-2D-3L
AWAY South Hobart
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-2 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
13.04.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
18.08.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.06.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 4-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
14.04.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 5-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart saw off Glenorchy Knights 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Glenorchy Knights at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 2.33 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart?

Glenorchy Knights 1-3 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 46%, draw 23%, South Hobart 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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