South Hobart 3-2 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.04/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.12
-34% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
18.08.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.06.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 4-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
14.04.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 5-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
18.06.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 3-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart squeezed past Glenorchy Knights 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; South Hobart found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for South Hobart and 1.50 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights?

South Hobart 3-2 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 39%, draw 27%, Glenorchy Knights 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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