Western Sydney W. II 0-3 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.86
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
19%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.46
Over 2.5
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
50%
+14.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
18%
Away Win
29%
-11.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.1pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
2.00/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.83
+55% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 17.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sydney II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
261 Passes 296
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Sydney II Sydney II 2-5 HT 2-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
06.08.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-1 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
21.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
02.08.2020 Sydney II Sydney II 3-2 HT 3-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney II cruised past Western Sydney W. II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Western Sydney W. II at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Western Sydney W. II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 1.50 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney II?

Western Sydney W. II 0-3 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 64%, draw 17%, Sydney II 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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