Blacktown City Demons 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

Blacktown City Demons
1-2 HT 0-2
Rockdale Ilinden
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Blacktown City Demons vs Rockdale Ilinden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blacktown City Demons v Rockdale Ilinden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
2.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.69
+28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.2 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Blacktown City Demons vs Rockdale Ilinden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blacktown City Demons
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.91 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-3 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
27.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
14.05.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-2 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
22.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-3 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
13.06.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-4 HT 1-2 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
28.03.2021 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 4-1 HT 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Blacktown City Demons vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden squeezed past Blacktown City Demons 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Blacktown City Demons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Blacktown City Demons and 1.33 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Blacktown City Demons vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Blacktown City Demons 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blacktown City Demons vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blacktown City Demons 44%, draw 21%, Rockdale Ilinden 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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