Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+10.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-18.4pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.26
-42% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Canberra Olympic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
12.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
17.06.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 2-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
30.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-3 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
10.08.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-1 HT 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
22.05.2021 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United nicked a narrow win over Canberra Olympic 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra Olympic at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tuggeranong United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.33 for Canberra Olympic.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic?

Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 36%, draw 19%, Canberra Olympic 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Canberra Olympic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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