Atletico Paranaense vs Belgrano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Belgrano — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Belgrano — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Belgrano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 54% of the ball to Belgrano's 46%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.44 to 0.86.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Belgrano?
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Belgrano in the Copa Sudamericana on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Belgrano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 48%, draw 28%, Belgrano 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.