Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
1-2
HT 0-2
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
Boca Juniors 1-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Boca Juniors edged past Cruzeiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Boca Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Boca Juniors had 52% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 48%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.34 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boca Juniors's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.75 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Boca Juniors 1-0 Cruzeiro in the Copa Sudamericana on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 38%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.