AC Horsens 0-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.79
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
9%
5.53
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.26
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.53
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 5.26 — our 20% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.13
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
17.4 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.46 xG 2.20
46% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
112 Passes 180
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 37
6 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
23.07.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 0-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
0-1
AWAY Kolding IF
0.32 xG 1.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
417 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF squeezed past AC Horsens 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 60% of the ball to Kolding IF's 40%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.32 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kolding IF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AC Horsens and 2.00 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Kolding IF?

AC Horsens 0-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 30%, draw 28%, Kolding IF 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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