FC Fredericia 3-2 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.46
2-3 Goals
43%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.11
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.0
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
9%
9.3
X/X
8%
6.74
2/1
8%
19.3
2/2
9%
6.13
2/X
10%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
19.07.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
06.11.2019 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
01.09.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
3-2
AWAY Roskilde
1.39 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia edged past Roskilde 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Fredericia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 50% of the ball to Roskilde's 50%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.39 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Fredericia and 0.67 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Roskilde?

FC Fredericia 3-2 Roskilde in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 56%, draw 22%, Roskilde 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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