Hillerod 4-2 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.69
2-3 Goals
38%
2.15
4-5 Goals
30%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.85
X/1
15%
3.6
X/2
5%
24.0
X/X
6%
9.82
2/1
7%
21.05
2/2
10%
16.85
2/X
6%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.52/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.99
+4% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
21.5 Crosses 8.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
439 Passes 400
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.04.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
08.03.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-4 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
21.07.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-4 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
19.05.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
23.04.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
4-2
AWAY HB Koge
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod got the better of HB Koge 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hillerod and 1.33 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs HB Koge?

Hillerod 4-2 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 59%, draw 19%, HB Koge 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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