Ajaccio 1-0 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.05
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.11
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
12%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
21%
3.76
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.93
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.22/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.00
-7% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.4 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rodez
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.70 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
335 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
05.08.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.02.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 2-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
18.09.2021 Rodez Rodez 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
02.03.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
07.11.2020 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio nicked a narrow win over Rodez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ajaccio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajaccio and 0.67 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Rodez?

Ajaccio 1-0 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 33%, draw 34%, Rodez 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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