Clermont vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Clermont v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Clermont vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Clermont
FR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Pau
FR2
Clermont 2-2 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Clermont and Pau couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Clermont had 58% of the ball to Pau's 42%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.17 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Clermont and 1.00 for Pau.
What was the final score of Clermont vs Pau?
Clermont 2-2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Clermont vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Clermont 42%, draw 27%, Pau 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.