Guingamp 4-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.5
X/1
15%
3.66
X/2
8%
9.52
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
9%
8.34
2/X
10%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.62/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.58
-22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.7 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Troyes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
289 Passes 381
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
25.11.2023 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
03.04.2021 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
01.12.2020 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
16.12.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
07.04.2018 Guingamp Guingamp 4-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
4-0
AWAY Troyes
2.39 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
402 Passes 430
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp ran out comfortable winners over Troyes 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Guingamp had 49% of the ball to Troyes's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.39 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Troyes?

Guingamp 4-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 50%, draw 28%, Troyes 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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