Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.00/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.00
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-4 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
21.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
29.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
19.05.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 5-0 HT 3-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
31.03.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-5 HT 0-3 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3-0
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen ran out comfortable winners over Banga Gargzdai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 52% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 48%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.67 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 59%, draw 24%, Banga Gargzdai 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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