Katowice 0-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.23
X/2
16%
8.49
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
6.24
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 Katowice Katowice 2-0 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
06.08.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
19.05.2021 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL2
29.11.2020 Katowice Katowice 2-1 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
0-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
0.87 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
364 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice and Motor Lublin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Katowice had 50% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katowice had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Katowice and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Katowice 0-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Katowice 39%, draw 29%, Motor Lublin 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Katowice), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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