Caracas FC vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caracas FC v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Caracas FC vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Caracas FC
VEN
2-2
HT 0-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
1-1
HT 1-0
Caracas FC
VEN
1-2
HT 0-2
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
3-1
HT 2-1
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
Caracas FC 2-3 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes De Merida nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Caracas FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Caracas FC had 46% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 54%, shots finished 7-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caracas FC and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Caracas FC 2-3 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 44%, draw 29%, Estudiantes De Merida 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.