Angostura FC 1-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.7pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -7%
1.06/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.60
+30% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.5 Crosses 20.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.88 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
263 Passes 270
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
02.05.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
25.02.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
01.09.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
06.03.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-2
AWAY Carabobo
0.75 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
367 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Angostura FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 38% / 34% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angostura FC had 60% of the ball to Carabobo's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.75 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Angostura FC and 1.60 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Carabobo?

Angostura FC 1-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 28%, draw 38%, Carabobo 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
16 Aug 2024
02:45 Caracas FC vs Estudiantes De Merida Analysis →