Carabobo 3-0 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.21/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.45
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
21.9 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.15 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
262 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
25.02.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
01.09.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
06.03.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
3-0
AWAY Angostura FC
1.70 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
298 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo swept aside Angostura FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Carabobo had 45% of the ball to Angostura FC's 55%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.70 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Carabobo and 0.75 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Angostura FC?

Carabobo 3-0 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 49%, draw 24%, Angostura FC 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
20 May 2024
03:00 Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →