Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 May 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 HT 1-0
Portuguesa FC
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Portuguesa FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.6 Crosses 13.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.05.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.02.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
13.11.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
22.10.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 4-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.02.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Portuguesa FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.72 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
243 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello nicked a narrow win over Portuguesa FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Academia Puerto Cabello made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 43% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 57%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.72 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.67 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 38%, draw 28%, Portuguesa FC 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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