Sigma Olomouc 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.15/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.88
+11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
320 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 66%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.4 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 3-2 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.10.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
15.04.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.01.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-2 HT 1-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc HAZ
22.10.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
19.12.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-0
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
2.02 xG 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 0
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
345 Passes 82
83% Pass Accuracy 45%
39 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc nicked a narrow win over FC Fastav Zlin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Sigma Olomouc made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 70% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 30%, shots finished 24-0, expected goals 2.02 to 0.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sigma Olomouc's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Sigma Olomouc 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 37%, draw 30%, FC Fastav Zlin 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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