Mlada Boleslav 3-2 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
16.6 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.44
59% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
358 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
04.08.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
31.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.02.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.09.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-1 HT 3-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.05.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-2
AWAY Hradec Kralove
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav edged past Hradec Kralove 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 63% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 37%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.00 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Mlada Boleslav 3-2 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 46%, draw 22%, Hradec Kralove 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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