Jablonec 1-1 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.74/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.74
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.2 Crosses 22.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.32 xG 2.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
214 Passes 344
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.03.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.10.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-1
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.36 xG 1.28
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
107 Passes 335
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 34
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec and Slavia Prag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Slavia Prag carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jablonec had 29% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 71%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.36 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jablonec and 2.83 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Jablonec 1-1 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 21%, draw 23%, Slavia Prag 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slavia Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ BTTS Yes
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