Jablonec 1-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.67/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.70
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
18.0 Crosses 24.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.90 xG 3.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
148 Passes 412
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 51
7 Crosses 59
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
17.04.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
21.11.2021 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.38 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
217 Passes 305
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag edged past Jablonec 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jablonec had 46% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 54%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.38 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jablonec and 3.33 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Jablonec 1-2 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 21%, draw 28%, Slavia Prag 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Under 2.5
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