Karvina 4-1 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
0.82/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.95
-58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
27.0 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
223 Passes 278
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
16.03.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.10.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
27.02.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
25.09.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
17.04.2021 Karvina Karvina 3-0 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
4-1
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina cruised past Ceske Budejovice 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karvina as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Karvina had 61% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 39%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karvina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karvina and 1.17 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice?

Karvina 4-1 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karvina 51%, draw 25%, Ceske Budejovice 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karvina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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