Karvina 1-0 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.87/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
26.8 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
241 Passes 216
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.10.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
27.02.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
25.09.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
17.04.2021 Karvina Karvina 3-0 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
12.12.2020 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-0
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
0.88 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 7
205 Passes 339
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 32
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past Ceske Budejovice 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Karvina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karvina had 42% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 58%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.88 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karvina and 1.33 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice?

Karvina 1-0 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karvina 38%, draw 28%, Ceske Budejovice 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karvina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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