Bohemians 1905 0-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.06/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.33
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.0 Crosses 14.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.01.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice TİPSK
22.07.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.03.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
18.09.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
0-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.47 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 32
31 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1905 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians 1905 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 48% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.47 to 1.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FK Pardubice's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.33 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice?

Bohemians 1905 0-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 44%, draw 23%, FK Pardubice 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
25 May 2024
19:00 Jablonec vs FC Fastav Zlin Analysis →
19:00 Karvina vs Ceske Budejovice Analysis →
19:00 Hradec Kralove vs Teplice Analysis →