Jablonec 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.74
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
0W-6D-0L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 0.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 Passes 123
76% Pass Accuracy 52%
25 Box Touches 2
40 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
11.11.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
06.05.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.02.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
21.08.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-0
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
0.64 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
258 Passes 218
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec nicked a narrow win over FC Fastav Zlin 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jablonec had 52% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.64 to 1.39 — on chances, FC Fastav Zlin could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jablonec and 1.17 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Jablonec 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 43%, draw 25%, FC Fastav Zlin 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec)
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