Jablonec 3-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.95/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.85
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.0 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.81 xG 2.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
185 Passes 372
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.10.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
3-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
2.84 xG 2.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
27 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
303 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec edged past Slavia Prag 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Jablonec found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jablonec had 54% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 46%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 2.84 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jablonec and 3.00 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Jablonec 3-2 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 35%, draw 27%, Slavia Prag 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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