Slavia Prag 3-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.70/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.77
+22% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
42.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
31.9 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.18 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
358 Passes 182
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
39 Box Touches 8
41 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
17.04.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
3-0
AWAY Jablonec
2.88 xG 0.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
399 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag ran out comfortable winners over Jablonec 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 63% of the ball to Jablonec's 37%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.88 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.50 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Slavia Prag 3-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 60%, draw 22%, Jablonec 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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