Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.04/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.38
+16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
24.8 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 260
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.05.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 0-2 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
05.05.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-1 HT 3-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.02.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.02.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-2
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.87 xG 0.78
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
434 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove nicked a narrow win over Sigma Olomouc 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sigma Olomouc at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 65% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 35%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.67 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove?

Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 44%, draw 29%, Hradec Kralove 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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