Hamilton 1-2 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

Hamilton
1-2 HT 1-0
East Fife
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hamilton vs East Fife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v East Fife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
2.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.11
+8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs East Fife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY East Fife
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
19.07.2014 East Fife East Fife 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton HAZ
03.04.2004 East Fife East Fife 2-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
31.01.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK1
06.12.2003 East Fife East Fife 2-3 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
27.09.2003 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK1
14.04.2001 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife squeezed past Hamilton 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Hamilton carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs East Fife?

Hamilton 1-2 East Fife in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 61%, draw 25%, East Fife 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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