Inverness CT 1-2 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.92/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.72
-53% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
185 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 6.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
11.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
21.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
28.09.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.09.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir nicked a narrow win over Inverness CT 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Inverness CT carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Inverness CT and 0.60 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT 1-2 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 58%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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