Cove Rangers 3-3 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.32/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.28
-17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Montrose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
15.03.2025 Montrose Montrose 2-2 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
11.02.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
26.10.2024 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
31.08.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
09.03.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-4 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
30.12.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers and Montrose shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cove Rangers and 1.33 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Montrose?

Cove Rangers 3-3 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 45%, draw 29%, Montrose 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cove Rangers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
16 Aug 2025
17:00 Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir Analysis →
17:00 Queen Of The South vs Peterhead Analysis →
17:00 Hamilton vs East Fife Analysis →