Cambridge United 1-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 29% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
9%
9.5
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
12%
24.95
2/2
8%
8.14
2/X
5%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.07/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.31
-13% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 66%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.7 Crosses 14.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.50 xG 2.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
360 Passes 238
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.04.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 5-4 HT 4-2 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
09.01.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.09 xG 0.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
332 Passes 177
70% Pass Accuracy 58%
34 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Harrogate Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cambridge United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 62% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 38%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.09 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cambridge United and 3.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Harrogate Town?

Cambridge United 1-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 53%, draw 25%, Harrogate Town 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambridge United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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