Banbury United 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
0.87/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.80
-49% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Leiston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
05.04.2025 Leiston Leiston 3-0 HT 1-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
24.08.2024 Banbury United Banbury United 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Leiston Leiston 0-2 HT 0-1 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United and Leiston shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Banbury United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Banbury United and 1.25 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Leiston?

Banbury United 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 46%, draw 23%, Leiston 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banbury United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banbury United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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